Research Note
37d · 1 min read
IG credit spreads at 98bps and HY at 298bps are near post-GFC tights. At these levels the market is pricing a near-perfect soft landing. Historical data: in the 6 instances where credit spreads were this tight post-2010, 4 saw a 40%+ widening within 18 months. Not a base case, but tail risk is underpriced.
No position disclosed.
This is not financial advice. For informational purposes only.
Based on publicly available information and contributor analysis.
This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
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